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FWD continues Heat Advisory (continues Anderson, Bosque, Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Ellis, Erath, Falls, Fannin, Freestone, Grayson, Henderson, Hill, Hood, Hopkins, Hunt, Jack, Johnson, Kaufman, Lamar, Limestone, McLennan, Montague, Navarro, Palo Pinto, Parker, Rains, Rockwall, Somervell, Stephens, Tarrant, Van Zandt, Wise, Young [TX], continues Bell, Coryell, Eastland, Hamilton, Leon, Milam, Robertson [TX]) till Jul 11, 8:00 PM CDT.

046 WWUS74 KFWD 100207 NPWFWD URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 907 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-130>135-144>148-159>161-101100- /O.CON.KFWD.HT.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-200712T0100Z/ Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Erath-Hood-Somervell-Johnson- Ellis-Henderson-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-Freestone-Anderson-McLennan- Falls-Limestone- Including the cities of Bowie, Nocona, Gainesville, Sherman, Denison, Bonham, Paris, Graham, Olney, Jacksboro, Decatur, Bridgeport, Carrollton, Denton, Lewisville, Flower Mound, Plano, McKinney, Allen, Frisco, Greenville, Commerce, Cooper, Sulphur Springs, Breckenridge, Mineral Wells, Weatherford, Briar, Fort Worth, Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall, Heath, Terrell, Kaufman, Forney, Canton, Grand Saline, Wills Point, Van, Edgewood, Emory, East Tawakoni, Point, Stephenville, Dublin, Granbury, Oak Trail Shores, Glen Rose, Cleburne, Burleson, Waxahachie, Ennis, Midlothian, Athens, Gun Barrel City, Clifton, Meridian, Valley Mills, Hillsboro, Corsicana, Teague, Fairfield, Wortham, Palestine, Waco, Marlin, Mexia, and Groesbeck 907 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heat index values of 105-107 degrees today and up to 110 degrees on Saturday. * WHERE...Portions of North and East Texas. * WHEN...From 1 PM Thursday to 8 PM CDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity will increase the risk for heat-related illnesses to occur, particularly for those working or participating in outdoor activities. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles under any circumstances. Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1. && $$ TXZ129-143-157-158-162-174-175-101100- /O.CON.KFWD.HT.Y.0002.200710T1800Z-200712T0100Z/ Eastland-Hamilton-Coryell-Bell-Leon-Milam-Robertson- Including the cities of Cisco, Eastland, Ranger, Gorman, Hamilton, Hico, Copperas Cove, Gatesville, Killeen, Temple, Fort Hood, Buffalo, Centerville, Jewett, Normangee, Oakwood, Cameron, Rockdale, Hearne, Franklin, and Calvert 907 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 8 PM CDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heat index values of 105-110 degrees. * WHERE...Most of North...Central and East Texas. * WHEN...From 1 PM Friday to 8 PM CDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity will increase the risk for heat-related illnesses to occur, particularly for those working or participating in outdoor activities. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles under any circumstances. Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1. && $$

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10.Jul.2020


FWD extends time of Flood Warning valid at Jul 10, 1:37 AM CDT for Navasota River near Easterly [TX] till Jul 14, 12:15 AM CDT

289 WGUS84 KFWD 100034 FLSFWD Flood Statement National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 734 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas... Navasota River Near Easterly affecting Robertson and Leon Counties. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks. Stay tuned to NOAA All Hazards Radio for the latest forecasts. TXC289-395-101845- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0116.200710T0637Z-200714T0515Z/ /EAST2.1.ER.200710T0637Z.200711T1800Z.200713T1715Z.NO/ 734 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday morning... The Flood Warning continues for the Navasota River Near Easterly. * From late tonight to late Monday night. * At 7:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 13.9 feet. * Flood stage is 19.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...A release from Lake Limestone will cause the river to rise above flood stage late tonight. The river is expected to rise to near 22 feet by Saturday afternoon. * Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding below Easterly is expected. && LAT...LON 3132 9626 3105 9619 3102 9631 3132 9638 $$ Godwin

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10.Jul.2020


FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 9, 6:26 PM CDT

207 FXUS64 KFWD 092326 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 626 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020 .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Through Friday/ Water vapor satellite imagery this afternoon shows a ridge of high pressure dominating much of the southwest and south-central CONUS. This ridge will expand further during the next 24 hours (and indeed the next several days), ramping up the heat. A Heat Advisory is in effect through Saturday evening to advertise the likelihood of heat index values of above 105 F. Besides the heat, the weather during the next 36 hours will be very quiet. There was some slight concern that a decaying MCS over eastern Oklahoma would send an outflow boundary into our far northeastern counties, but this turned out to not be the case. Winds remain out of the south well into Oklahoma. With the lack of any surface forcing mechanisms and strong subsidence from the building ridge aloft, precipitation chances look to be near nil for at least the next couple of days. Godwin && .LONG TERM... /Issued 339 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020/ /Saturday Onward/ In general, hot and rain free conditions are expected through the extended forecast...with a few caveats on Sunday. The overall pattern should be dominated by an anomalously strong upper high building across the SW and SC CONUS this weekend and early next week. The NAEFS and EPS ensemble mean guidance is indicating H5 heights to exceed the climatological max for this time of the year across West Texas and the Desert SW over the weekend. This should keep our airmass largely subsident and dry, allowing temperatures to climb into the triple digits. The onset of widespread triple digit temperatures is expected Saturday as the 850 flow shifts a bit more westerly and transports warmer temperatures aloft over our area. Once these warmer temperatures aloft mix throughout the boundary layer, it will allow surface temperatures to climb readily through the afternoon. The best mixing should generally occur west of I-35 and south of I-20 where afternoon dew points may drop into the mid 50s. Elsewhere, dew points are expected to remain in the low to mid 70s making the heat rather oppressive through the afternoon with heat index values in the 105-110F range, with some spots north of I-20 between 110-113F. While this meets the temperature threshold for an Excessive Heat Watch/Warning, confidence of this occurring two days in a row is low, therefore, we have decided to continue the Heat Advisory, and not upgrade it at this time. A weak cold front will approach the area from the north overnight Saturday into Sunday morning. This front has the potential to wreak havoc on Sunday's temperature and dew point forecast, particularly across North Texas. First, a MCS is likely to develop over Western/Central Oklahoma in the evening to overnight hours. West to northwest flow aloft should bring the thunderstorms southeast over the course of the night. Although the current forecast only includes silent 10 PoPs along the Red River, there is a chance of an isolated shower/storm along the Red River early Sunday morning. Even if no precip occurs in our area, an increase of cloud cover is expected early Sunday. This would decrease the insolation and delay/decrease the diurnal temperature climb. Another nuance to Sunday's pattern is how far south the front will progress. The latest guidance suggests this front to sag as far south as the northern fringes of the Metroplex/I-30 corridor before it washes out Sunday afternoon. This boundary would likely drop temperatures a few degrees, but also raise dew points, essentially keeping heat index values in the 105-110 range through the afternoon Sunday. The early parts of next week appear to be quieter as the mid level high translates east over the Southern Plains and settles over the Southeastern CONUS by mid next week. This will leave the area under a typical summertime pattern with southerly flow prevailing in the low levels and mid/upper level easterly to southeasterly flow. Expect afternoon highs near to slightly above seasonal norms with heat index values in the 100-105 range. Bonnette && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/ Gusty south winds of 10-15 KT and VFR with only a few high clouds prevail this afternoon. A few diurnally driven Cu around FL050 are evident on visible satellite imagery across Central Texas, but these should dissipate after sunset. Another surge of cloud cover looks likely across Central Texas on Thursday morning. Over the past few days, any MVFR CIGs have been very intermittent, so opted to go with TEMPO MVFR at KACT. It is not impossible that some very brief MVFR CIGs make their way into the D10 TRACON, but this seems unlikely, thus no mention in the Metroplex TAFs. Besides a few high clouds, only a few diurnal Cu around FL070 are expected on Thursday. Godwin && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 78 98 80 101 80 / 0 0 0 0 5 Waco 77 98 77 101 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 75 96 77 98 77 / 0 0 0 0 10 Denton 78 97 78 102 78 / 0 0 0 0 10 McKinney 77 97 79 100 78 / 0 0 0 0 5 Dallas 79 99 80 102 81 / 0 0 0 0 5 Terrell 77 95 77 99 78 / 0 0 0 0 5 Corsicana 76 94 78 99 78 / 0 0 0 0 5 Temple 75 99 76 102 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 76 99 77 103 77 / 0 0 0 0 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Saturday for TXZ091>095-100>107- 115>123-130>135-144>148-159>161. Heat Advisory from 1 PM Friday to 8 PM CDT Saturday for TXZ129- 143-157-158-162-174-175. && $$ 37/25

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09.Jul.2020


FWD issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Jul 9, 6:18 PM CDT

679 FLUS44 KFWD 092318 HWOFWD Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 618 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-101145- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 618 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Very hot conditions are expected through the weekend with temperatures reaching and exceeding 100 degrees. Afternoon heat indices will climb above 105 degrees across North and Central Texas. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$

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09.Jul.2020


DALLAS FORT WORTH Jul 9 Climate Report: High: 94 Low: 78 Precip: 0.0 Snow: M

861 CDUS44 KFWD 092140 CLIDFW CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 440 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2020......................................THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 9 2020... VALID AS OF 0430 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1898 TO 2020 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL.................................................................. TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 94 330 PM 106 1980 95 -1 96 MINIMUM 78 613 AM 61 1905 75 3 78 AVERAGE 86 PRECIPITATION (IN) TODAY 0.00 0.82 1907 0.09 -0.09 0.00 MONTH TO DATE 1.30 0.82 0.48 0.07 SINCE JUN 1 6.65 4.61 2.04 4.20 SINCE JAN 1 31.72 20.86 10.86 23.98.................................................................. WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 16 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION S (190) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 23 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION S (180) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 12.2.......................................................... THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 95 107 1917 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 75 56 1905 SUNRISE AND SUNSET JULY 9 2020..........SUNRISE 628 AM CDT SUNSET 839 PM CDT JULY 10 2020..........SUNRISE 628 AM CDT SUNSET 839 PM CDT - INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT. $$

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09.Jul.2020


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