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FWD updates Heat Advisory (expires Bell, Jack, Montague, Parker, Wise [TX], continues Anderson, Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Ellis, Falls, Fannin, Freestone, Grayson, Henderson, Hill, Hopkins, Hunt, Johnson, Kaufman, Lamar, Leon, Limestone, McLennan, Milam, Navarro, Rains, Robertson, Rockwall, Tarrant, Van Zandt [TX]) .

009 WWUS74 KFWD 202356 AAA NPWFWD URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 656 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019 TXZ091-101-102-117-158-210100- /O.EXP.KFWD.HT.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190821T0000Z/ Montague-Jack-Wise-Parker-Bell- Including the cities of Bowie, Nocona, Jacksboro, Decatur, Bridgeport, Weatherford, Briar, Killeen, Temple, and Fort Hood 656 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019...HEAT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... The Heat Advisory will expire for areas near and west of a Bowie to Weatherford line at 7pm this evening. $$ TXZ092>095-103>107-118>123-133>135-145>148-159>162-174-175-211000- /O.CON.KFWD.HT.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190822T0100Z/ Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Denton-Collin-Hunt-Delta-Hopkins- Tarrant-Dallas-Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Johnson-Ellis- Henderson-Hill-Navarro-Freestone-Anderson-McLennan-Falls- Limestone-Leon-Milam-Robertson- Including the cities of Gainesville, Sherman, Denison, Bonham, Paris, Carrollton, Denton, Lewisville, Flower Mound, Plano, McKinney, Allen, Frisco, Greenville, Commerce, Cooper, Sulphur Springs, Fort Worth, Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall, Heath, Terrell, Kaufman, Forney, Canton, Grand Saline, Wills Point, Van, Edgewood, Emory, East Tawakoni, Point, Cleburne, Burleson, Waxahachie, Ennis, Midlothian, Athens, Gun Barrel City, Hillsboro, Corsicana, Teague, Fairfield, Wortham, Palestine, Waco, Marlin, Mexia, Groesbeck, Buffalo, Centerville, Jewett, Normangee, Oakwood, Cameron, Rockdale, Hearne, Franklin, and Calvert 656 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY... * TEMPERATURE...95 to 101 degrees. * HEAT INDEX...103 to 105 degrees. * IMPACTS...Heat exhaustion or heat stroke may occur if you are outside for extended periods of time. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Be sure to check on persons with health problems and the elderly, as they are the most susceptible to heat exhaustion and heat stroke. Never leave young children or pets in an enclosed vehicle, even for a short time, as temperatures can quickly rise to life threatening levels. Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When possible, reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke. Wear light weight and loose fitting clothing when possible and drink plenty of water. To reduce risk during outdoor work the occupational safety and health administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke is an emergency - call 911. && $$ Bain

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20.Aug.2019


FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 20, 6:21 PM CDT

760 FXUS64 KFWD 202321 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 621 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019 .AVIATION... /00Z TAFs/ There are little operational concerns with this evening's TAF package. The only forecast challenge is the development of gulf stratus across central Texas creeping into the KACT terminal in the early morning hours. There is a 20% chance of MVFR ceilings moving over the terminal between 12-15Z, however, the current thinking is the ceilings should remain south/west of KACT. Otherwise, a typical diurnal wind cycle is expected with south- southeast winds in the afternoon and south-southwest winds developing near sunrise. Bonnette && .SHORT TERM... /Issued 238 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019/ /Through Tonight/ Hot and humid conditions persist across Central and North Texas this afternoon. Many locations are experiencing heat index values between 105 degrees and 108 degrees. The heat advisory will remain in effect until 7pm this evening. Outside of the heat, an area of showers and thunderstorms is occurring across southeast Texas this afternoon. Some of this activity may sneak into our east and southeast through 00z and will keep a 20 pop for these locations. If thunderstorms do develop, then moderate/heavy downpours, brief gusty winds, and cloud to ground lightning will be the main threats. Convection should diminish later this evening with the loss daytime heating. Otherwise, warm and muggy conditions will continue tonight. Overnight lows will be in the middle to upper 70s across much of the area with low 80s in the Metroplex. TB && .LONG TERM... /Issued 238 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019/ /Wednesday onward/ The stout upper-level ridge responsible for hot and rain-free weather looks to stick around for another couple of days, leading to more of the same through Thursday. Highs each day will be near 100 F (give or take a few degrees, depending on where you are located in our county warning area). Maximum heat index values will be a bit marginal tomorrow in terms of Heat Advisory criteria, but seeing as an advisory is already out through Wednesday, might as well let it ride since (1) it will be close enough, and (2) even if we are not explicitly at/above criteria, it will be plenty hot. The night shift may opt to drop the Heat Advisory, but regardless, all the usual precautions to avoid heat-related illness will need to be taken. Late this week and into the weekend, the upper-level ridge may loosen its grip on North and Central Texas a bit as the ridge shifts to the west. The reduced subsidence may allow for some diurnally-driven showers and thunderstorms to develop each day Friday through Sunday, mainly over our southern and eastern counties where the subsidence will be the weakest, and moisture will be the highest. There could be some additional enhancement to shower and thunderstorm chances as some weak, transient upper- level shortwave troughs propagate across Oklahoma and Kansas. Right now, it does not look like we are looking at much in the way of widespread, wetting rains, but there appears to be enough there to justify at least slight chance to chance PoPs for portions of the county warning area through the weekend. Some people will see perhaps a few tenths of an inch of rain. A few lucky individuals may pick up a half-inch or more. But for most of us, we will stay hot and dry, longing for the relief of a late-summer downpour. The upper-level pattern with the ridge centered over the Desert Southwest looks to continue into next week, with perhaps an increase in tropical moisture towards the middle of the week. There has been little run-to-run consistency regarding precipitation coverage during this time period, so kept PoPs in the slight chance to chance range areawide. As for your extended outlook, some members of the GFS ensemble forecast system (GEFS) continue to hint at some sort of cold front towards the end of next week (August 30 - September 1). Details are obviously very uncertain right now, but this signal has appeared in several consecutive runs of the GEFS, and in fact, CPC is indicating a slightly increased probability of below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation during this time period. Doubtful it'll be time to break out the pumpkin spice, but perhaps we might manage to get some reasonable temperatures (highs only in the upper 80s?) in time for Labor Day weekend. We shall see. 37 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 81 99 80 99 80 / 0 0 5 5 0 Waco 77 98 77 99 77 / 0 0 0 5 0 Paris 77 96 75 95 75 / 0 0 5 10 10 Denton 78 99 79 98 78 / 0 0 5 5 5 McKinney 77 99 78 98 77 / 0 0 5 5 5 Dallas 83 100 81 100 80 / 0 0 5 5 0 Terrell 77 98 79 100 77 / 0 0 5 5 5 Corsicana 77 97 77 96 76 / 0 0 0 5 0 Temple 76 99 76 97 75 / 0 0 0 5 0 Mineral Wells 75 99 75 98 75 / 0 0 0 5 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Wednesday for TXZ092>095-103>107- 118>123-133>135-145>148-159>162-174-175. Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ091-101-102-117- 158. && $$ 06

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20.Aug.2019


DALLAS FORT WORTH Aug 20 Climate Report: High: 101 Low: 79 Precip: 0.0 Snow: M

959 CDUS44 KFWD 202132 CLIDFW CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 432 PM CDT TUE AUG 20 2019......................................THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR AUGUST 20 2019... VALID AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1898 TO 2019 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL.................................................................. TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 101 250 PM 107 2011 96 5 95 MINIMUM 79 611 AM 58 1940 75 4 77 AVERAGE 90 PRECIPITATION (IN) TODAY 0.00 1.53 1977 0.07 -0.07 T MONTH TO DATE 0.72 1.10 -0.38 2.99 SINCE JUN 1 5.63 7.05 -1.42 4.51 SINCE JAN 1 25.41 23.30 2.11 22.21.................................................................. WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 15 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION SE (120) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 19 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION SE (120) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 7.2.......................................................... THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 96 105 1948 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 75 62 1940 1927 SUNRISE AND SUNSET AUGUST 20 2019........SUNRISE 655 AM CDT SUNSET 808 PM CDT AUGUST 21 2019........SUNRISE 655 AM CDT SUNSET 807 PM CDT - INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT. $$

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20.Aug.2019


WACO Aug 20 Climate Report: High: 100 Low: 80 Precip: 0.0 Snow: M

957 CDUS44 KFWD 202132 CLIACT CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 432 PM CDT TUE AUG 20 2019......................................THE WACO CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR AUGUST 20 2019... VALID AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1901 TO 2019 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL.................................................................. TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 100 258 PM 107 2011 97 3 101 1984 MINIMUM 80 625 AM 58 1940 74 6 78 AVERAGE 90 PRECIPITATION (IN) TODAY 0.00 2.22 1931 0.06 -0.06 0.00 MONTH TO DATE 0.03 1.20 -1.17 0.57 SINCE JUN 1 7.45 6.42 1.03 1.24 SINCE JAN 1 26.76 21.31 5.45 9.61.................................................................. WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 14 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION S (170) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 18 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION S (160) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 8.8.......................................................... THE WACO CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 97 106 1948 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 74 61 1992 1940 SUNRISE AND SUNSET AUGUST 20 2019........SUNRISE 657 AM CDT SUNSET 807 PM CDT AUGUST 21 2019........SUNRISE 658 AM CDT SUNSET 806 PM CDT - INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT. $$

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20.Aug.2019


FWD issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Aug 20, 3:00 PM CDT

877 FLUS44 KFWD 202000 HWOFWD Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 300 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-211300- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 300 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Heat index values may exceed 105 again Wednesday afternoon across areas along and east of I-35. Although the heat will persist through mid week, heat index values should gradually diminish later in the week into next weekend. Low thunderstorm chances will return beginning Friday and continue off and on through the upcoming weekend into early next week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$

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20.Aug.2019


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